A famous investor’s visiting Fat Tail Daily | Australian Markets

1) I’ve talked about some huge plans are afoot right here at Fats Tail Every day…

I can reveal now they contain none different than James Altucher. He’s pretty well-known in tech investing and crypto circles.

I suppose you would say he’s a bit of a Vegemite character.

You like him or hate him.

Even his fiercest detractors, although, would admit he has a fierce mind.

And a fearless one…

Which brings me to the particular story for Australian buyers that James is about to interrupt…along with Fats Tail Every day…subsequent week…

Should you’ve not come throughout James, right here’s the rundown…

James beforehand ran a hedge fund, Method Capital…and has a $200 million VC firm referred to as 212 Ventures.

However he’s identified in a ‘socials’ as a prolific blogger, podcaster and charismatic champion of ‘contrarian’ tech and crypto.

He’s acquired bestselling books, one of which USA Right now referred to as one of ‘the 12 best business books of all time’.

His podcast The James Altucher Present has been downloaded more than 40 million instances… and has featured visitors like Ray Dalio and Mark Cuban.

(I extremely encourage you to bulk-listen to some episodes earlier than our huge story drops subsequent week…)

He’s acquired an uncanny knack of recognizing megatrends early, long earlier than anybody else.

For instance…

Within the Nineteen Nineties, when the web was first getting off the ground, James predicted that video streaming providers would quickly take off and develop into the longer term.

In 2007 he made a prediction concerning Fb, which was nonetheless simply a tiny startup.

Just a few months earlier, Yahoo! had made a $1 billion bid to buy the company…and to the shock of nearly everybody, Fb turned it down.

Most people thought Mark Zuckerberg was making a enormous mistake…

However James made a prediction that Fb would at some point be value $100 billion.

Everybody laughed on the time.

Inside a matter of years, that’s precisely what occurred…

In 2013 James went on CNBC and advised people that Bitcoin was about to change the world.

Again then, nearly no one had heard of Bitcoin… and a few have been even calling it a Ponzi scheme.

It traded at simply $114 when James made this call.

Proper now, that $114 Bitcoin is value simply shy of US$100,000.

Put merely…

When this man makes a NEW prediction, you LISTEN…

And that’s precisely what James goes to do subsequent week.

In a particular ‘collab’ with Fats Tail Every day, and Fats Tail Funding Analysis.

Belief me. I’ve been working immediately with James behind the scenes on this.

It’s huge.

And I’m so comfortable to ask James to our neck-of-the-woods right here in Australia.

He articulates his ideas not like most others — with insight and brutal honesty.

In abstract:

He’s a Fats Tail variety of man…

So, what’s the story he’s going to allow us to in on?

Properly, you’ll need to attend and see.

But when he’s proper…it may very well be the most important investment story not simply of 2025…however for the remainder of this decade…

And James has discovered Aussie buyers a “backdoor” method into it…

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION!

We go public round this time subsequent week…

In the meantime, in different developments…

2) Everyone knows the most important pattern within the world proper now could be artificial intelligence (‘AI’).

What instantly follows on from this? Typically, it’s a remark that AI wants gargantuan quantities of energy to run.

Do you have to be shopping for up oil, coal, uranium and renewable shares as fast as you may?

Properly, we could also be heading to that actuality, however we’re not there but.

We are able to inform from the latest outcomes from coal miner New Hope [ASX:NHC].

These got here out yesterday. New Hope produces thermal coal in each NSW and Queensland.

New Hope’s key price benchmark is the Newcastle 6000 Index.

This was down 11% from the earlier quarter. NHC says coal markets are biking a period of oversupply and weakened demand.

There’s nothing uncommon about this. Commodities all the time transfer like swings and roundabouts.

However I believed it was a helpful instance of how notion (about AI) doesn’t all the time match actuality on the ground proper now (coal pricing).

That mentioned, NHC continues to be including to its mountain of money. NHC has $800 million in money and fixed income on the books. That’s about 20% of its market cap in money.

My colleague Greg Canavan actively follows NHC. I requested for his latest ideas on NHC, and the worth it presents now…

‘With thermal coal prices down by around 30% (in US dollar terms) since the October 2024 peak, NHC’s share price is holding up okay.

‘It’s solely down 16% over the identical time body. That’s as a result of the market by no means thought US$150/t was sustainable.

‘The big question is whether current prices (around US$100/t) are sustainable. We know that the first quarter usually represents a seasonal low for coal prices.

‘So I would expect to see a price recovery as we get closer to the June quarter. The long term demand for coal continues to be robust, without or without the AI narrative. In 2024, China started construction on 94.5GW of coal-fired power capacity, the highest level since 2015.

‘NHC is the lowest cost operator amongst the listed coal companies on the ASX. It trades on a undemanding PE of 7x FY25 earnings, although I suspect there will be full year earnings downgrades if prices don’t get well within the subsequent few months. Nonetheless, you’re hardly overpaying for this earnings uncertainty, and the forecast yield is over 9% totally franked. Once more, that’s not locked in. Decrease income will imply a decrease dividend. However I don’t count on any downgrades to be drastic and the long run outlook stays sound.’

Thanks, Greg!

3) I just lately put three small-cap stock suggestions down in a report referred to as ‘Small Caps, Big Comeback’.

One of these is now could be up 30% to date in 2025. It appears primed to interrupt out even increased within the weeks forward.

And whereas there’s no ensures of what’s going to occur sooner or later, small caps are dangerous after all, the indicators look promising…

It’s not too late to get the details on this by clicking right here.

Greatest needs,

Callum Newman,
Editor, Small-Cap Techniques and Australian Small-Cap Investigator

Murray’s Chart of the Day

Markets have forgotten concerning the volatility skilled in August final 12 months when a falling US greenback sparked a mass exodus out of Japanese Yen carry trades.

Falling rates of interest within the US and rising rates of interest in Japan reversed the meteoric rise within the USDJPY.

Because the US greenback fell towards the Japanese Yen, returns soured for Yen carry merchants and plenty of have been pressured to close positions.

We discovered that carry merchants had been investing money borrowed in Japan into the Magnificent 7. The Nasdaq dropped over 10% in a couple of days.

Quick ahead to as we speak and the identical issues that preceded the carry trade unwind are occurring again.

US 10-year bond yields are dropping fast, and Japanese 10-year bonds yields have jumped sharply on the similar time.

The USDJPY is falling, just lately hitting 151.50, which is simply above the 150 stage the place all hell broke free final time.

Might the market be close to beginning spherical two of the carry trade unwinds?

Regards,

Murray Dawes,
Editor, Retirement Dealer, Fats Tail Microcaps, and Fats Tail Alliance